What are the chances of seeing a Lycormas Blue in Novosibirsk?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lycormas Blue sighting in Novosibirsk on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 131st most-seen of the 216 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lycormas Blue in Novosibirsk?
May to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lycormas Blue in Novosibirsk on a given day, against under 5% in August to April, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Lycormas Blue?
Only Novosibirsk, in our data
Novosibirsk is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Lycormas Blue sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Lycormas Blue sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lycormas Blue is recorded against all the insects logged in Novosibirsk (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.