What are the chances of seeing a Siberian Winter Damsel in Novosibirsk?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Siberian Winter Damsel sighting in Novosibirsk on a given day, based on 29 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 30th most-seen of the 216 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Siberian Winter Damsel in Novosibirsk?
May
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Siberian Winter Damsel in Novosibirsk on a given day, against under 5% in September to March, the lowest months.
Is Novosibirsk the best place to see a Siberian Winter Damsel?
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Siberian Winter Damsel sightings, Novosibirsk ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Astana (Kazakhstan, about 10%).
Where does the Siberian Winter Damsel sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Siberian Winter Damsel is recorded against all the insects logged in Novosibirsk (29 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.