What are the chances of seeing a Four-Spotted Cranefly in Paris?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Cranefly sighting in Paris on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 592nd most-seen of the 916 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Four-Spotted Cranefly in Paris?
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Cranefly in Paris on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Four-Spotted Cranefly?
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Four-Spotted Cranefly sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Paris the best place to see a Four-Spotted Cranefly?
6th of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Four-Spotted Cranefly sightings, Paris ranks 6th at under 5%. The best odds are in Rotterdam [The Hague] (Netherlands, about 10%), Leeds (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Birmingham (United Kingdom, about 10%).
Where does the Four-Spotted Cranefly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Four-Spotted Cranefly is recorded against all the insects logged in Paris (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.