What are the chances of seeing a Lantern Fly in Perth?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lantern Fly sighting in Perth on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 254th most-seen of the 275 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lantern Fly in Perth?
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lantern Fly in Perth on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months. That is one of Perth's driest months, with about 25 mm of rain against 130 mm in July.
Is Perth the best place to see a Lantern Fly?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Lantern Fly sightings, Perth ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Melbourne (Australia, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Lantern Fly live in Perth?
Same order: Hemiptera
The closest relatives of the Lantern Fly that you can see in Perth (order Hemiptera, True Bugs, Hoppers, Aphids, and allies) are Crusader Bug (about 20%), Poecilometis lineatus (about 10%) and Gum Tree Shield Bug (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Lantern Fly sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lantern Fly is recorded against all the insects logged in Perth (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.