What are the chances of seeing a Lovebug in Philadelphia?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Lovebug sighting in Philadelphia on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 471st most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Lovebug in Philadelphia?
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lovebug in Philadelphia on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Is Philadelphia the best place to see a Lovebug?
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Lovebug sightings, Philadelphia ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Boston (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Lovebug sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lovebug is recorded against all the insects logged in Philadelphia (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.