What are the chances of seeing a Desert Forktail in Phoenix?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Desert Forktail sighting in Phoenix on a given day, based on 50 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 47th most-seen of the 264 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Desert Forktail in Phoenix?
January–February and April–October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Desert Forktail in Phoenix on a given day, against under 5% in March and November–December, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Desert Forktail?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Desert Forktail sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Phoenix the best place to see a Desert Forktail?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Desert Forktail sightings, Phoenix has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Mesa (United States, about 10%).
Where does the Desert Forktail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Desert Forktail is recorded against all the insects logged in Phoenix (50 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.