Elaphria venustula
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Elaphria venustula (rosy marbled) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of Europe, except the north. In the east, the range extends through the Palearctic to the Pacific Ocean. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled sighting in Porto on a given day, based on 41 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 175th most-seen of the 498 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled in Porto on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–April, the lowest months. That is one of Porto's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 140 mm in January.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Rosy Marbled sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Rosy Marbled sightings, Porto ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Turin (Italy, about 10%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Rosy Marbled that you can see in Porto (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Variegated Cutworm Moth (about 20%), Armyworm Moth (about 20%) and Scarce Merveille Du Jour (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rosy Marbled is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto (41 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
