Elaphria venustula
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Elaphria venustula (rosy marbled) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of Europe, except the north. In the east, the range extends through the Palearctic to the Pacific Ocean. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled sighting in Prague on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 543rd most-seen of the 724 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled in Prague on a given day, against under 5% in July to May, the lowest months. That is one of Prague's wettest months, with about 80 mm of rain against 30 mm in February.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Rosy Marbled sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Rosy Marbled sightings, Prague ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Turin (Italy, about 10%), Porto (Portugal, about 10%) and Beijing (China, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Rosy Marbled that you can see in Prague (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 10%), Large Yellow Underwing (about 10%) and Knot Grass Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rosy Marbled is recorded against all the insects logged in Prague (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
