What are the chances of seeing a Cape Ivy Moth in Pretoria?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Ivy Moth sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 195th most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Cape Ivy Moth in Pretoria?
October and December–March
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Ivy Moth in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in April–September and November, the lowest months. Those are among Pretoria's wettest months, with about 90 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
What time of day is best to see a Cape Ivy Moth?
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cape Ivy Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Is Pretoria the best place to see a Cape Ivy Moth?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Cape Ivy Moth sightings, Pretoria has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Cape Town (South Africa, under 5%) and Durban (South Africa, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Cape Ivy Moth live in Pretoria?
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Cape Ivy Moth that you can see in Pretoria (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Creamstriped Owl (about 30%), Speckled Grey Footman (about 10%) and Graphic Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Cape Ivy Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cape Ivy Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.