Afromurzinia lutescens
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Afromurzinia lutescens is a moth in the family Erebidae. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Angola, Cameroon, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda and Zimbabwe.
The larvae have been recorded feeding on Ornithogalum eckloni, Zea mays, Dalbergia sissoo, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Eucalyptus deglupta, Eucalyptus torreliana, Eucalyptus rudis, Gmelina arborea and Cassia siamea. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Translucent Ermine sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 18 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 82nd most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Translucent Ermine in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in February, April and June–October, the lowest months. That is one of Pretoria's wettest months, with about 130 mm of rain against almost none in July.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Translucent Ermine sightings, Pretoria has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Durban (South Africa, under 5%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Translucent Ermine that you can see in Pretoria (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Creamstriped Owl (about 30%), Speckled Grey Footman (about 10%) and Graphic Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Translucent Ermine is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (18 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
