Nephele comma
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Nephele comma is a moth of the family Sphingidae. It is very common throughout the Ethiopian Region, including Madagascar. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 2 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 17 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 82nd most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Comma Nephele in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in June to October, the lowest months. That is one of Pretoria's wettest months, with about 80 mm of rain against almost none in July.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Comma Nephele sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Comma Nephele sightings, Pretoria has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Johannesburg (South Africa, under 5%) and Durban (South Africa, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Comma Nephele is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (17 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
