Saenura flava
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Saenura is a genus of moth in the subfamily Arctiinae. It contains only one species, Saenura flava, which can be found in southern Africa. It is sometimes known as the yellow ermine. The larvae feed on Tagetes erecta, Senecio species, Cassia occidentalis, Cassia tomentosa, Tephrosia species, Acacia mearnsii, Ornithogalium eckloni, Protea multibracteata, Rubus pinnotus, Smilax species and Lantana species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Yellow Ermine sighting in Pretoria on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 153rd most-seen of the 274 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
December to March
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Yellow Ermine in Pretoria on a given day, against under 5% in April to November, the lowest months. Those are among Pretoria's wettest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against almost none in July.
Between 5 and 8 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Yellow Ermine sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Only Pretoria, in our data
Pretoria is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Yellow Ermine sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Yellow Ermine that you can see in Pretoria (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Creamstriped Owl (about 30%), Speckled Grey Footman (about 10%) and Graphic Ermine (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Yellow Ermine is recorded against all the insects logged in Pretoria (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
