Megalopyge defoliata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Megalopyge defoliata is a moth of the Megalopygidae family. It was described by Francis Walker in 1855. It is found in Mexico. The wingspan is 34 mm for males and 50 mm for females. The forewings of the males are brownish grey, with a large white spot at the base, a smaller one at the end of the cell connected with the basal spots by a white line and an outer transverse irregular white band between which and the median nervure the veins are whitish. The fringe is cream color. The hindwings are creamy with the veins and some scales at the base darker. Females are entirely smoky brown with some white scales at the base and near the apex of the forewings. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata sighting in Puebla on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 97th most-seen of the 118 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Megalopyge defoliata in Puebla on a given day, against under 5% in December to September, the lowest months. That is one of Puebla's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 170 mm in September.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Megalopyge defoliata sightings, Puebla ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Toluca (México, about 10%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Megalopyge defoliata that you can see in Puebla (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Monarch (about 40%), Two-Tailed Swallowtail (about 30%) and West Coast Lady (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Megalopyge defoliata is recorded against all the insects logged in Puebla (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
