Phyciodes picta
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Phyciodes picta, the painted crescent, is a species of crescents, checkerspots, anglewings, etc. in the butterfly family Nymphalidae. It is found in North America. The MONA or Hodges number for Phyciodes picta is 4484. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Painted Crescent sighting in Puebla on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 88th most-seen of the 118 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Painted Crescent in Puebla on a given day, against under 5% in June and August–January, the lowest months. That is one of Puebla's driest months, with about 10 mm of rain against 170 mm in September.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Painted Crescent sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Painted Crescent sightings, Puebla ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Monterrey (México, about 10%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Painted Crescent that you can see in Puebla (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Monarch (about 40%), West Coast Lady (about 30%) and Juno Silverspot (about 30%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Painted Crescent is recorded against all the insects logged in Puebla (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
