Hamadryas fornax
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Cracker sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 28 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 221st most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May–July and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange Cracker in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in August and October–April, the lowest months. Those are among São Paulo's driest months, with about 65 mm of rain a month against 230 mm in January.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Orange Cracker sightings, São Paulo ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Caracas (Venezuela, about 10%) and Curitiba (Brazil, about 10%).
Same genus: Hamadryas
The closest relatives of the Orange Cracker that you can see in São Paulo (genus Hamadryas, Cracker Butterflies) are Epinome Cracker (about 10%), Red Cracker (about 10%) and Arete Cracker (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange Cracker is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (28 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
