Parrhasius orgia
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Parrhasius orgia, the variable hairstreak, is a butterfly in the family Lycaenidae. It is found from Mexico to Venezuela, the Amazon, French Guiana, Colombia and Bolivia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Alegre | 🇧🇷 Brazil | |
| 2 | São Paulo | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Hairstreak sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 425th most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November and December
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Hairstreak in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in January to October, the lowest months. Those are among São Paulo's wettest months, with about 160 mm of rain a month against 35 mm in August.
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Variable Hairstreak sightings, São Paulo ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Porto Alegre (Brazil, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Hairstreak is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
