What are the chances of seeing an Arawacus ellida in São Paulo?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Arawacus ellida sighting in São Paulo on a given day, based on 93 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 78th most-seen of the 832 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Arawacus ellida in São Paulo?
June–October and December–March
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Arawacus ellida in São Paulo on a given day, against under 5% in April–May and November, the lowest months.
Is São Paulo the best place to see an Arawacus ellida?
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Arawacus ellida sightings, São Paulo ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Rosario (Argentina, about 10%) and Maceió (Brazil, about 10%).
Where does the Arawacus ellida sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Arawacus ellida is recorded against all the insects logged in São Paulo (93 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.