Mesembrius peregrinus
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mesembrius peregrinus sighting in Seoul on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 291st most-seen of the 525 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mesembrius peregrinus in Seoul on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months. Those are among Seoul's wettest months, with about 240 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Mesembrius peregrinus sightings, Seoul ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Beijing (China, under 5%).
Same family: Syrphidae
The closest relatives of the Mesembrius peregrinus that you can see in Seoul (family Syrphidae, Hover Flies) are Marmalade Hover Fly (about 10%), Helophilus eristaloideus (about 10%) and Common Globetail (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mesembrius peregrinus is recorded against all the insects logged in Seoul (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
