Tipula nova
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tipula nova sighting in Seoul on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 268th most-seen of the 525 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April–June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tipula nova in Seoul on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–March, the lowest months.
4th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Tipula nova sightings, Seoul ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Sendai (Japan, about 10%), Osaka (Japan, under 5%) and Tokyo (Japan, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tipula nova is recorded against all the insects logged in Seoul (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
