Orgyia dubia
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tel Aviv | 🇮🇱 Israel |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orgyia dubia sighting in Tel Aviv on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 157th most-seen of the 264 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orgyia dubia in Tel Aviv on a given day, against under 5% in January, March–June, September and November, the lowest months. That is one of Tel Aviv's driest months, with almost no rain against 90 mm in January.
Only Tel Aviv, in our data
Tel Aviv is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Orgyia dubia sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Orgyia dubia that you can see in Tel Aviv (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Ocnogyna loewii (about 30%), Crimson-Speckled Flunkey (about 20%) and Brown Triangle Snout (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orgyia dubia is recorded against all the insects logged in Tel Aviv (13 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
