What are the chances of seeing a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 443rd most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia in Tokyo?
August
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in September to July, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia?
7th of 8
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia sightings, Tokyo ranks 7th at under 5%. The best odds are in Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%), Tuen Mun (China, about 10%) and Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia, under 5%).
Where does the Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-Waisted Pronged Nomia is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.