What are the chances of seeing a Chinese Bushbrown in Tokyo?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Chinese Bushbrown sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 149 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 109th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Chinese Bushbrown in Tokyo?
May to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Chinese Bushbrown in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in November to April, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Chinese Bushbrown?
Among the best
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Chinese Bushbrown sightings, Tokyo ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Nagoya (Japan, about 10%) and Shanghai (China, about 10%).
Where does the Chinese Bushbrown sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Chinese Bushbrown is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (149 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.