Episcapha fortunii
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Episcapha fortunii sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 53 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 224th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April to June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Episcapha fortunii in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in July to March, the lowest months.
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Episcapha fortunii sightings, Tokyo ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Hefei (China, about 20%), Nanjing (China, about 10%) and Hangzhou (China, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Episcapha fortunii is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (53 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
