Macroglossum pyrrhosticta
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Macroglossum pyrrhosticta, the maile pilau hornworm or burnt-spot hummingbird hawkmoth, is a hawk moth of the family Sphingidae. The species was first described by Arthur Gardiner Butler in 1875. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Maile Pilau Hornworm sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 479 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 31st most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Maile Pilau Hornworm in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in January to June, the lowest months. That is one of Tokyo's wettest months, with about 250 mm of rain against 75 mm in February.
3rd of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Maile Pilau Hornworm sightings, Tokyo ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Changzhou (China, about 30%) and Busan (South Korea, about 20%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Maile Pilau Hornworm is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (479 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
