Messor aciculatus
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Messor aciculatus sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 37 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 309th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January and March–April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Messor aciculatus in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in February and May–December, the lowest months.
4th of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Messor aciculatus sightings, Tokyo ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Qingdao (China, about 10%), Beijing (China, about 10%) and Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
Same family: Formicidae
The closest relatives of the Messor aciculatus that you can see in Tokyo (family Formicidae, Ants) are Japanese Carpenter Ant (about 20%), Japanese Wood Ant (about 20%) and Japanese Queenless Ant (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Messor aciculatus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (37 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
