What are the chances of seeing a Phalera assimilis in Tokyo?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Phalera assimilis sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 35 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 314th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Phalera assimilis in Tokyo?
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Phalera assimilis in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Phalera assimilis?
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Phalera assimilis sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Seoul (South Korea, under 5%).
Where does the Phalera assimilis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Phalera assimilis is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (35 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.