What are the chances of seeing a Phalera flavescens in Tokyo?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Phalera flavescens sighting in Tokyo on a given day, based on 112 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 139th most-seen of the 1013 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Phalera flavescens in Tokyo?
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Phalera flavescens in Tokyo on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months.
Is Tokyo the best place to see a Phalera flavescens?
Among the best
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Phalera flavescens sightings, Tokyo ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Osaka (Japan, about 10%).
Where does the Phalera flavescens sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Phalera flavescens is recorded against all the insects logged in Tokyo (112 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.