What are the chances of seeing a Three-Lined Balsa Moth in Toronto?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Three-Lined Balsa Moth sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1212th most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Three-Lined Balsa Moth in Toronto?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Three-Lined Balsa Moth in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Where else can you see a Three-Lined Balsa Moth?
Only Toronto, in our data
Toronto is the only city on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Three-Lined Balsa Moth sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Three-Lined Balsa Moth live in Toronto?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Three-Lined Balsa Moth that you can see in Toronto (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are American Dagger (about 10%), Large Yellow Underwing (about 10%) and Armyworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Three-Lined Balsa Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Three-Lined Balsa Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.