What are the chances of seeing a Cosmoscarta abdominalis in Tuen Mun?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cosmoscarta abdominalis sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 441st most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Cosmoscarta abdominalis in Tuen Mun?
April and June–July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cosmoscarta abdominalis in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in May and August–March, the lowest months. Those are among Tuen Mun's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in December.
Is Tuen Mun the best place to see a Cosmoscarta abdominalis?
2nd of 2
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Cosmoscarta abdominalis sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 10%).
Where does the Cosmoscarta abdominalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cosmoscarta abdominalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.