What are the chances of seeing a Gynautocera papilionaria in Tuen Mun?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Gynautocera papilionaria sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 492nd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Gynautocera papilionaria in Tuen Mun?
February, April and July–August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Gynautocera papilionaria in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in March, May–June and September–January, the lowest months.
Is Tuen Mun the best place to see a Gynautocera papilionaria?
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Gynautocera papilionaria sightings, Tuen Mun has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Gynautocera papilionaria live in Tuen Mun?
Same family: Zygaenidae
The closest relatives of the Gynautocera papilionaria that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Zygaenidae, Burnet Moths) are Drury's Jewel (about 10%), Semi-Hyaline Zygaenid Moth (about 10%) and Histia flabellicornis (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Gynautocera papilionaria sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Gynautocera papilionaria is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.