Ligyra tantalus
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Ligyra tantalus is a species of insect in the family Bombyliidae, commonly known as bee flies. It has an orange and brown thorax and a black abdomen with a white ring and four spots on it, although the rearmost two spots can be joined together in some specimens. The wings are purplish-black and swept back from the body when at rest. Wikipedia →
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 318th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May–June and August–October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ligyra tantalus in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in July and November–April, the lowest months. Those are among Tuen Mun's wettest months, with about 200 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in December.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Ligyra tantalus sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Jakarta (Indonesia, about 10%) and Tokyo (Japan, about 10%).
Same order: Diptera
The closest relatives of the Ligyra tantalus that you can see in Tuen Mun (order Diptera, Flies) are Black Soldier Fly (about 10%), Ptecticus aurifer (about 10%) and Marmalade Hover Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ligyra tantalus is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
