Melanographia flexilineata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Melanographia flexilineata sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 19 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 218th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Melanographia flexilineata in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in May–June, September and November–January, the lowest months. That is one of Tuen Mun's driest months, with about 55 mm of rain against 290 mm in June.
Among the best
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Melanographia flexilineata sightings, Tuen Mun ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Hong Kong (China, about 10%).
Same family: Nolidae
The closest relatives of the Melanographia flexilineata that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Nolidae, Tufted Moths) are Nola ceylonica (about 10%), Nola pascua (about 10%) and Carea angulata (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Melanographia flexilineata is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (19 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
