What are the chances of seeing a Mogannia nasalis in Tuen Mun?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Mogannia nasalis sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 492nd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Mogannia nasalis in Tuen Mun?
April–June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mogannia nasalis in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–March, the lowest months. Those are among Tuen Mun's wettest months, with about 220 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in December.
Is Tuen Mun the best place to see a Mogannia nasalis?
Yes
Of the 3 cities where we can rate Mogannia nasalis sightings, Tuen Mun has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%) and Guangzhou (China, under 5%).
Where does the Mogannia nasalis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mogannia nasalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.