Sphenoraia nebulosa
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Sphenoraia nebulosa is a species of skeletonizing leaf beetle in the family Chrysomelidae, found in Indomalaya and eastern Asia. Wikipedia →
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More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Sphenoraia nebulosa sighting in Tuen Mun on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 250th most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Sphenoraia nebulosa in Tuen Mun on a given day, against under 5% in July, October and December–April, the lowest months. That is one of Tuen Mun's wettest months, with about 170 mm of rain against 20 mm in December.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Sphenoraia nebulosa sightings, Tuen Mun has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Hong Kong (China, under 5%).
Same family: Chrysomelidae
The closest relatives of the Sphenoraia nebulosa that you can see in Tuen Mun (family Chrysomelidae, Leaf Beetles) are Green Tortoise Beetle (about 10%), Oides decempunctata (about 10%) and Lema diversipes (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Sphenoraia nebulosa is recorded against all the insects logged in Tuen Mun (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
