Melitta nigricans
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blackish Blunt-Horn sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 301st most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Blackish Blunt-Horn in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Yes
Of the 2 cities where we can rate Blackish Blunt-Horn sightings, Warsaw has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Berlin (Germany, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blackish Blunt-Horn is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
