What are the chances of seeing a Dark-Winged Black in Warsaw?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dark-Winged Black sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 501st most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Dark-Winged Black in Warsaw?
June and July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Dark-Winged Black in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Is Warsaw the best place to see a Dark-Winged Black?
Among the best
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Dark-Winged Black sightings, Warsaw ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in London (United Kingdom, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Dark-Winged Black live in Warsaw?
Same family: Stratiomyidae
The closest relatives of the Dark-Winged Black that you can see in Warsaw (family Stratiomyidae, Soldier Flies) are Broad Centurion Fly (about 10%) and Twin-Spot Centurion Fly (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Dark-Winged Black sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dark-Winged Black is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (6 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.