What are the chances of seeing a Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo in Warsaw?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 501st most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo in Warsaw?
May
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in June to April, the lowest months. That is one of Warsaw's wettest months, with about 75 mm of rain against 40 mm in February.
Is Warsaw the best place to see a Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo?
Yes
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo sightings, Warsaw has the highest daily chance: under 5%. Next come Paris (France, under 5%) and Prague (Czechia, under 5%).
Where does the Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Small Yellow-Girdled Tenthredo is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.