Lacinipolia explicata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Lacinipolia explicata, also known as the explicit arches, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in the southeastern part of the United States, from Kentucky and North Carolina south to Florida and west to Missouri and Texas.
The wingspan is 28–30 mm. Adults are on wing in April and again in September in two generations per year. The larvae feed on Trifolium species and Taraxacum officinale. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Explicit Arches sighting in Washington on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 990th most-seen of the 1807 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Explicit Arches in Washington on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Explicit Arches sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Explicit Arches sightings, Washington ranks 4th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Philadelphia (United States, under 5%), Baltimore (United States, under 5%) and New York City (United States, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Explicit Arches is recorded against all the insects logged in Washington (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
