Scopula umbilicata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Scopula umbilicata, the swag-lined wave moth, is a species of moth in the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Johan Christian Fabricius in 1794. It is found from the southern part of the United States (including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Oklahoma and Texas) to South America and the West Indies (including Puerto Rico).
The wingspan is about 18 mm. The wings are white with sparse speckling. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Cypress National Preserve | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Everglades National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Swag-Lined Wave sighting in Everglades National Park on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 255th most-seen of the 496 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Swag-Lined Wave in Everglades National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September to March, the lowest months.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Swag-Lined Wave sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Swag-Lined Wave sightings, Everglades National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Big Cypress National Preserve (United States, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Swag-Lined Wave is recorded against all the insects logged in Everglades National Park (12 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
