Cerynea thermesialis
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Cerynea thermesialis, the hot snout, is a species of moth in the family Erebidae first described by Francis Walker in 1866. It is found throughout subtropical Africa, from Sierra Leone to Madagascar; and from Kenya to South Africa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 2 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Hot Snout sighting in Gorongosa National Park on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 27th most-seen of the 41 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and June
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Hot Snout in Gorongosa National Park on a given day, against under 5% in March, May, August–October and December, the lowest months. Those are among Gorongosa National Park's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain a month against 210 mm in January.
Between 6 and 9 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Hot Snout sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Hot Snout sightings, Gorongosa National Park has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Kruger National Park (South Africa, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Hot Snout is recorded against all the insects logged in Gorongosa National Park (6 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
