Xanthorhoe packardata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Carpet sighting in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 628th most-seen of the 822 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Packard's Carpet in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in November to August, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Packard's Carpet sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Great Smoky Mountains National Park, in our data
Great Smoky Mountains National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Packard's Carpet sightings: under 5% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Packard's Carpet that you can see in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Tulip-Tree Beauty (about 30%), White-Striped Black (about 20%) and Pale Beauty (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Packard's Carpet is recorded against all the insects logged in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
