Catocala frederici
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Catocala frederici is a moth of the family Erebidae. It is found in Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico and Arizona. The wingspan is 40–52 mm. Adults are on wing from June to September depending on the location. There is probably one generation per year. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalupe Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Catocala frederici sighting in Guadalupe Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 41st most-seen of the 57 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report a Catocala frederici in Guadalupe Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July–August and October–April, the lowest months. That is one of Guadalupe Mountains National Park's wettest months, with about 40 mm of rain against 10 mm in April.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Catocala frederici sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Guadalupe Mountains National Park, in our data
Guadalupe Mountains National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Catocala frederici sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Catocala frederici that you can see in Guadalupe Mountains National Park (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Inept Graphic (about 10%), Speckled Tussock Moth (about 10%) and Black Witch (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Catocala frederici is recorded against all the insects logged in Guadalupe Mountains National Park (16 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
