Cerynea thermesialis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Cerynea thermesialis, the hot snout, is a species of moth in the family Erebidae first described by Francis Walker in 1866. It is found throughout subtropical Africa, from Sierra Leone to Madagascar; and from Kenya to South Africa. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 2 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Hot Snout sighting in Kruger National Park on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 188th most-seen of the 748 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April to August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Hot Snout in Kruger National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September to March, the lowest months. Those are among Kruger National Park's driest months, with about 10 mm of rain a month against 110 mm in February.
Between 6 and 9 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Hot Snout sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
2nd of 2
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Hot Snout sightings, Kruger National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Gorongosa National Park (Mozambique, about 20%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Hot Snout that you can see in Kruger National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Shadow Droplet (about 10%), Acontia discoidea (about 10%) and The Banner (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Hot Snout is recorded against all the insects logged in Kruger National Park (26 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
