What are the chances of seeing an Agrapha ahenea in Main Ridge Forest Reserve?
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Agrapha ahenea sighting in Main Ridge Forest Reserve on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 124th most-seen of the 346 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 50%, and over a week to about 80%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Agrapha ahenea in Main Ridge Forest Reserve?
February
In that month about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Agrapha ahenea in Main Ridge Forest Reserve on a given day, against under 5% in March–April and September–November, the lowest months. That is one of Main Ridge Forest Reserve's driest months, with about 60 mm of rain against 230 mm in October.
What time of day is best to see an Agrapha ahenea?
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Agrapha ahenea sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Where else can you see an Agrapha ahenea?
Only Main Ridge Forest Reserve, in our data
Main Ridge Forest Reserve is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Agrapha ahenea sightings: about 20% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Agrapha ahenea live in Main Ridge Forest Reserve?
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Agrapha ahenea that you can see in Main Ridge Forest Reserve (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Tripudia ochrocraspis (about 20%), Condica abida (about 20%) and Three-Spotted Lemon Moth (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Agrapha ahenea sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Agrapha ahenea is recorded against all the insects logged in Main Ridge Forest Reserve (11 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.