Hadena confusa
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Hadena confusa, the marbled coronet, is a species of moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe, North Africa and West Asia and Central Asia. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercantour National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Marbled Coronet sighting in Mercantour National Park on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 245th most-seen of the 412 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June and July
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Marbled Coronet in Mercantour National Park on a given day, against under 5% in August to May, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Marbled Coronet sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Mercantour National Park, in our data
Mercantour National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Marbled Coronet sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Marbled Coronet that you can see in Mercantour National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Brown-Line Bright-Eye (about 20%), Shears (about 20%) and Shoulder-Striped Wainscot (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Marbled Coronet is recorded against all the insects logged in Mercantour National Park (11 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
