What are the chances of seeing an Orthosia carnipennis in Nikko National Park?
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report an Orthosia carnipennis sighting in Nikko National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 53rd most-seen of the 86 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Orthosia carnipennis in Nikko National Park?
March to May
In those months about 40% of wildlife watchers report an Orthosia carnipennis in Nikko National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February and June–December, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see an Orthosia carnipennis?
Between 4 and 7 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Orthosia carnipennis sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Where else can you see an Orthosia carnipennis?
Only Nikko National Park, in our data
Nikko National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Orthosia carnipennis sightings: about 20% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Which relatives of the Orthosia carnipennis live in Nikko National Park?
Same genus: Orthosia
The closest relatives of the Orthosia carnipennis that you can see in Nikko National Park (genus Orthosia) are Orthosia aoyamensis (about 20%) and Orthosia ijimai (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Orthosia carnipennis sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orthosia carnipennis is recorded against all the insects logged in Nikko National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.