Agrotis vetusta
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Agrotis vetusta, the old man dart, spotted-legged cutworm or muted dart (when referring to Agrotis vetusta mutata) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Francis Walker in 1865. It is found in North America, from southern Alaska to Nova Scotia, southward into Mexico.
The wingspan is 35–42 mm. Adults are on wing from August to September depending on the location. The larvae feed on various forbs, vegetables, and row crops. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Old Man Dart sighting in Point Pelee National Park on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 130th most-seen of the 196 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report an Old Man Dart in Point Pelee National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Old Man Dart sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Only Point Pelee National Park, in our data
Point Pelee National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Old Man Dart sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Old Man Dart that you can see in Point Pelee National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Eight-Spotted Forester Moth (about 20%), Smeared Dagger (about 20%) and Pearly Wood-Nymph (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Old Man Dart is recorded against all the insects logged in Point Pelee National Park (7 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
