Conistra rubiginea
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Conistra rubiginea, the dotted chestnut, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Michael Denis and Ignaz Schiffermüller in 1775. It is distributed in Europe and, according to William Warren, Armenia and Asia Minor. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Chestnut sighting in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 738th most-seen of the 1277 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Dotted Chestnut in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, against under 5% in May to February, the lowest months.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Dotted Chestnut sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Dotted Chestnut sightings, Pyrénées National Park ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Dotted Chestnut that you can see in Pyrénées National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 10%), Cotton Bollworm Moth (about 10%) and Marbled White-Spot (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Dotted Chestnut is recorded against all the insects logged in Pyrénées National Park (12 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
