Elaphria venustula
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Elaphria venustula (rosy marbled) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in most of Europe, except the north. In the east, the range extends through the Palearctic to the Pacific Ocean. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled sighting in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, based on 21 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 440th most-seen of the 1277 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May–June and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Rosy Marbled in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July and September–April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Rosy Marbled sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Rosy Marbled sightings, Pyrénées National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, about 10%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Rosy Marbled that you can see in Pyrénées National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 10%), Cotton Bollworm Moth (about 10%) and Marbled White-Spot (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Rosy Marbled is recorded against all the insects logged in Pyrénées National Park (21 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
