Craniophora pontica
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Craniophora pontica is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found from the southern Balkans through the Near East and parts of the Middle East to Afghanistan. In the Levant it has been recorded from Lebanon and Israel.
Adults are on wing from April to May and in September. There are two generations per year. The larvae feed on Fraxinus species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain |
More parks will be added in future updates.
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Craniophora pontica sighting in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 149th most-seen of the 597 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Craniophora pontica in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months. Those are among Sierra de Guadarrama National Park's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain a month against 110 mm in November.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Craniophora pontica sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Only Sierra de Guadarrama National Park, in our data
Sierra de Guadarrama National Park is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Craniophora pontica sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Craniophora pontica that you can see in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Silver Υ (about 10%), Turnip Moth (about 10%) and Common Quaker (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Craniophora pontica is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (24 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
